Franke vs Gute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
13º
4º
18
5º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
33 | 54 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
2º
|
45.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 45 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 39 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 38 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 36 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 33 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 32 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 31 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 30 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 22 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 21 |
14º
|
53% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
97% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Franke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
FRA
66%
19%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
OST
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FOF
0 - 4
FRA
65%
18%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FCJ
1 - 2
FRA
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 1
SAN
40%
21%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Gute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
1 - 1
ENK
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 1
VAS
12%
18%
70%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 0
FCA
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
KUN
2 - 1
GUT
28%
22%
50%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
FOF
3 - 1
GUT
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |