France U23 vs Dominican Republic U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
France U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FRA
4 - 1
PAR
41%
23%
37%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 2
USA
41%
23%
36%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FRA
3 - 2
CIV
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 4
JPN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
FRA
4 - 3
RSA
61%
22%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Dominican Republic U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
RDO
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
RDO
72%
16%
12%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
RDO
71%
17%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
CRC
5 - 0
RDO
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
RDO
0 - 4
USA
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |