U20 World Cup round 3

France U20 vs Mali U20 analysis

France U20 Mali U20
63 ELO 43
0.9% Tilt 0.1%
1588º General ELO ranking 21529º
40º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
80.9%
France U20
13.2%
Draw
5.9%
Mali U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
France U20
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.9%
Win probability
Mali U20
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
France U20
-13%
-2%
Mali U20

ELO progression

France U20
Mali U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

France U20
France U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2011
FRA
France U20
3 - 1
South Korea U20
KOR
41%
25%
34%
61 63 2 0
31 Jul. 2011
COL
Colombia U20
4 - 1
France U20
FRA
53%
23%
24%
62 66 4 -1
19 May. 2011
FRA
France U20
2 - 1
USA U20
USA
46%
23%
31%
62 62 0 0
17 May. 2011
FRA
France U20
3 - 3
USA U20
USA
46%
23%
31%
62 62 0 0
25 Mar. 2011
PER
Peru U20
1 - 2
France U20
FRA
23%
23%
55%
62 45 17 0

Matches

Mali U20
Mali U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Aug. 2011
COL
Colombia U20
2 - 0
Mali U20
MLI
85%
11%
4%
44 67 23 0
31 Jul. 2011
MLI
Mali U20
0 - 2
South Korea U20
KOR
11%
20%
69%
45 63 18 -1
01 May. 2011
EGY
Egypt U20
1 - 0
Mali U20
MLI
75%
16%
9%
45 59 14 0
28 Apr. 2011
MLI
Mali U20
0 - 2
Nigeria U20
NGA
16%
21%
63%
47 59 12 -2
23 Apr. 2011
MLI
Mali U20
1 - 1
Lesotho U20
LSO
76%
16%
8%
47 32 15 0