Fortuna Sittard vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
BOS
4 - 0
FOR
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 0
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2001 |
FOR
4 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
WIL
1 - 1
BOS
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
PSV
28%
23%
49%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
GRO
1 - 0
WIL
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
75%
16%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2001 |
FOR
4 - 1
WIL
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -2 |