Fortuna Sittard vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
HEL
1 - 1
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
EXC
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
17%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 1
JON
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
JON
2 - 1
ACH
49%
23%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 3
JON
55%
21%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
JON
3 - 2
BOS
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 4
JON
75%
17%
9%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 1
JON
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |