Fortuna Lebenstedt vs SSV Kästorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
65.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Lebenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
GOT
2 - 1
FLE
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 1
TVA
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 1
FLE
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 1
GOS
55%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
LTS
1 - 4
FLE
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSV Kästorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SKA
2 - 3
SCH
72%
16%
13%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
GOS
0 - 2
SKA
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SKA
1 - 1
LTS
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
TPN
0 - 6
SKA
16%
17%
67%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SKA
2 - 1
TSH
65%
18%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |