Fortuna Köln vs Olympia Wilhelmshaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
WAT
0 - 0
KÖL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1975 |
EIN
4 - 2
KÖL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
KÖL
4 - 1
DJK
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
SCJ
0 - 1
KÖL
22%
19%
59%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Olympia Wilhelmshaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
OWI
2 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
OWI
2 - 0
HAN
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 1975 |
OWI
2 - 1
WAB
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
KFC
3 - 0
OWI
83%
12%
5%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
SWE
4 - 0
OWI
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |