Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 0
KÖL
50%
24%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BER
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
WER
2 - 2
KÖL
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 1
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ROT
2 - 1
MSV
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MSV
2 - 2
WHE
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPE
0 - 1
MSV
54%
23%
24%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
MSV
2 - 1
WEG
88%
8%
3%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2010 |
SPO
3 - 0
MSV
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |