Fortuna Köln vs B. Mönchengladbach II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 0
KÖL
51%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ROT
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 2
KÖL
22%
26%
52%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KÖL
3 - 0
LIP
82%
12%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VER
0 - 0
KÖL
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BOR
2 - 0
S04
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
WAT
2 - 2
BOR
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
BOR
5 - 1
VEL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
KFC
1 - 2
BOR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 2
ROT
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |