Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Thor Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
F95
1 - 1
RTV
70%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
MUN
4 - 3
F95
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
THO
0 - 0
F95
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
F95
2 - 3
HSV
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1980 |
STU
4 - 2
F95
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SV Thor Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
MOL
3 - 2
THO
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
THO
0 - 0
F95
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
THO
3 - 4
LIE
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
KFC
0 - 1
THO
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
THO
5 - 2
CER
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |