Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
47.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BYM
3 - 3
F95
88%
9%
3%
|
71 | 93 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
SFB
1 - 5
F95
3%
8%
90%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
F95
4 - 1
HER
16%
22%
62%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
F95
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ULM
1 - 5
F95
6%
11%
84%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
M05
1 - 2
BVB
12%
18%
70%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
OFC
1 - 2
M05
8%
14%
78%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SCF
1 - 3
M05
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
M05
2 - 1
BRE
23%
23%
54%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
AUG
3 - 2
M05
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |