Fortuna Düsseldorf vs SV Elversberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
3º
3º
19
6º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
21 | 61 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 60 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
21 | 59 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 59 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 55 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 54 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 51 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 49 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 48 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 47 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 41 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 33 |
16º
|
27% | |
|
17º
|
10 | 30 |
17º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
7 | 24 |
18º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
39% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
14% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
46.5% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
F95
1 - 1
PAD
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 0
F95
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
F95
3 - 4
KAI
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SSV
0 - 3
F95
15%
21%
64%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
F95
0 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SV Elversberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ELV
3 - 1
HAN
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
ELV
24%
25%
52%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
ELV
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 98 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ELV
4 - 2
HSV
23%
21%
56%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
ELV
33%
25%
43%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |