Cosenza Calcio vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 1
COS
25%
24%
52%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
TRE
2 - 1
COS
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COS
0 - 1
REG
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
COS
2 - 1
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
ASL
0 - 0
COS
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 1
COS
25%
24%
52%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
REG
3 - 0
CAS
79%
16%
5%
|
33 | 74 | 41 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRE
11%
21%
68%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
UDI
4 - 0
CAS
97%
3%
0%
|
33 | 87 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1998 |
CAS
2 - 2
UDI
6%
15%
79%
|
32 | 87 | 55 | +1 |