Fortis Trani vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortis Trani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
FOR
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
FOR
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 0
LIV
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
GEN
3 - 2
FOR
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 0
FCC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
NOV
0 - 1
ASS
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
VNZ
5 - 2
NOV
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VER
0 - 0
NOV
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
LEC
4 - 0
NOV
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 4
REG
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |