Fortaleza vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SFC
0 - 0
FOR
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
UNI
52%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 0
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
PER
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
REA
2 - 0
UNI
33%
28%
39%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
REA
3 - 3
SFC
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
REA
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
REA
1 - 1
UNI
23%
26%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
PER
4 - 2
REA
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |