Fortaleza vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
UNI
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
BOG
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
FOR
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
REA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 2
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
BUC
3 - 1
LLA
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
TFC
1 - 1
LLA
25%
29%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
UNI
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
AFC
1 - 2
LLA
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 1
CHI
31%
25%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |