Fortaleza vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
32.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ENV
0 - 2
FOR
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
TOL
18%
25%
58%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MIL
4 - 0
FOR
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
FOR
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 0
AGU
35%
30%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 0
EQU
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
EQU
1 - 1
HUI
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
SFE
2 - 0
EQU
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
EQU
2 - 0
ONC
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |