Fortaleza vs Bogotá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
FOR
39%
27%
35%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BJC
1 - 4
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
ORS
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 2
BOG
46%
27%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 4
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOG
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
0 - 2
TFC
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
2 - 1
BJC
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |