Fortaleza vs Academia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
BUC
28%
27%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
20 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
5 - 0
FOR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
15 Aug. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
RIO
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
12 Aug. 2009 |
PER
6 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
08 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Academia
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 Aug. 2009 |
SAB
3 - 2
ACA
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
19 Aug. 2009 |
BOG
1 - 2
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
15 Aug. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 2
UNI
54%
25%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
12 Aug. 2009 |
CEN
4 - 0
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -2 |
09 Aug. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 1
ACA
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |