Fortaleza U23 vs Vitória U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
7º
14º
11º
9
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
17 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 13 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 2 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
CRB
3 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
49%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPR
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FLU
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 2
FLU
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
7 - 0
PAY
78%
15%
8%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
ECV
0 - 0
BOT
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 1
ECV
11%
16%
73%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 1
ECV
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
ECV
0 - 2
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 2
ECV
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |