Fortaleza EC vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
42%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
TIR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 1
GUA
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
ICA
50%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 2
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
QUI
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 0
CRA
45%
23%
31%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
TIR
3 - 1
QUI
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 1
HOR
23%
23%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |