Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
JUV
2 - 2
FOR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
37%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
GOI
0 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
13%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 0
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
COR
2 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 1
FFL
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
GRE
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 2
PPE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
COT
1 - 0
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
GRE
1 - 1
BAH
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |