Fortaleza EC vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
GUA
85%
12%
3%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
FER
2 - 2
FOR
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
JUV
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
FOR
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
SCI
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
CEA
10%
18%
73%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 1
CEA
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
1 - 1
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CEA
2 - 3
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
CRI
2 - 3
CEA
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |