Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
85.1%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
12.8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
13%
0-5
5.6%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7.3%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.4%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
CLA
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
WIC
3 - 2
FOR
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
GOL
1 - 1
FOR
11%
14%
75%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
FOR
54%
20%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 3
BUC
7%
14%
79%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
6 - 0
NAI
87%
10%
3%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 4
BUC
4%
8%
88%
|
52 | 8 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 0
BUC
18%
19%
63%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 0
HUN
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |