Fornos de Algodres vs Marinhense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
69%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 0
FAL
93%
6%
2%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 1
MAR
8%
15%
77%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 5
UDL
8%
19%
74%
|
16 | 54 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
OLE
1 - 0
FAL
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 2
FAV
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marinhense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
FAV
1 - 5
MAR
21%
21%
59%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
OLE
27%
22%
52%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
ADN
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ADM
0 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 3
LUS
19%
22%
60%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |