Forli vs Corticella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
4º
16
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 71 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 67 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 62 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 58 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 57 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 57 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 27 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 27 |
18º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
71% | 43.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
FOR
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 2
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAM
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CES
2 - 4
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPA
2 - 0
FOR
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Corticella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PIA
2 - 0
COR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 3
IMO
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RAV
2 - 1
COR
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
VSM
60%
21%
20%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |