Forli vs Lentigione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
2º
10º
4º
23
2º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 71 |
1º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 67 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
|
3º
|
24 | 62 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 58 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 57 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 57 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 49 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 44 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 43 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 43 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 41 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 38 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 38 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 29 |
16º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 27 |
17º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 27 |
18º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
7.5% | 15% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
71% | 69.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
21% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 0
FIO
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
5 - 0
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 3
FOR
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RIC
1 - 2
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lentigione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
LEN
35%
25%
39%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
PIS
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PIA
1 - 1
LEN
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 1
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ACP
0 - 0
LEN
26%
26%
49%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |