Forli vs Sasso Marconi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
FAN
2 - 1
FOR
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
LEN
1 - 1
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 2
ADR
41%
23%
37%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SAV
2 - 0
FOR
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
CAT
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 1
ADR
17%
20%
63%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
ASD
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 3
LEN
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
MEZ
37%
25%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MEZ
2 - 2
ASD
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |