Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
5º
9º
6º
68
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
CLY
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 1
FOR
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CLY
0 - 2
FOR
33%
27%
41%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 3
PET
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
STE
0 - 0
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 1
STE
26%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
STE
1 - 6
CLY
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELG
2 - 2
STE
19%
25%
56%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EAS
1 - 1
STE
21%
25%
54%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |