Forfar Athletic vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
ALL
0 - 2
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
FOR
1 - 0
STI
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
FAL
1 - 0
FOR
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
STI
0 - 1
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
FOR
4 - 1
ALL
57%
24%
18%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
STI
0 - 0
FAL
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
FAL
3 - 0
ALL
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
FAL
1 - 0
FOR
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1981 |
ALL
1 - 1
FAL
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1981 |
FAL
4 - 1
STI
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |