Forfar Athletic vs Ayr United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ALL
3 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 2
AIR
53%
23%
23%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STE
3 - 0
FOR
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 2
EAS
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
ROS
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
AYR
3 - 1
LIV
33%
26%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AYR
2 - 0
STE
51%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 3
AYR
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ALL
4 - 1
AYR
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
2 - 1
AYR
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |