Forest Green Rovers vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
SUT
1 - 2
FOR
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DAG
2 - 1
FOR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
4 - 3
WOK
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
GAT
3 - 1
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
WRE
0 - 2
GAT
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 2
WRE
45%
27%
28%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 1
WRE
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
WRE
0 - 2
ALD
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOV
1 - 1
WRE
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |