National League round 9

Forest Green Rovers vs Wealdstone analysis

Forest Green Rovers Wealdstone
56 ELO 45
-3.3% Tilt -0.1%
1674º General ELO ranking 2730º
70º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
65%
Forest Green Rovers
20.7%
Draw
14.4%
Wealdstone

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
Forest Green Rovers
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.4%
Win probability
Wealdstone
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forest Green Rovers
+15%
+16%
Wealdstone

Points and table prediction

Forest Green Rovers
Their league position
Wealdstone
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
12º
23
17º
23º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Forest Green Rovers
50
91
39.5%
Barnet
50
88
25.5%
York City
51
87
16.5%
Gateshead
47
85
13.5%
Oldham Athletic AFC
44
80
19%
Rochdale
39
78
14%
Solihull Moors
41
76
14.5%
Altrincham
10º
35
70
13.5%
Hartlepool United
36
68
11%
Southend United
14º
33
65
10º
10%
Sutton United
13º
34
63
11º
9%
Eastleigh
11º
35
63
12º
9.5%
FC Halifax Town
36
63
13º
14.5%
Tamworth
16º
30
62
14º
12%
Yeovil Town
12º
35
61
15º
15%
Dagenham & Redbridge
15º
31
60
16º
8.5%
Aldershot Town
18º
25
54
17º
13.5%
Wealdstone
19º
23
50
18º
9%
Woking
17º
28
48
19º
12%
Maidenhead United
21º
23
45
20º
18%
Fylde
22º
22
45
21º
11%
Braintree Town
20º
23
43
22º
24.5%
Boston United
23º
15
38
23º
36%
Ebbsfleet United
24º
9
22
24º
87%
Expected probabilities
Forest Green Rovers
Wealdstone
Promotion
39.5% 0%
Promotion play-offs
58% 1%
Mid-table
2.5% 72%
Relegation
0% 27%

ELO progression

Forest Green Rovers
Wealdstone
Sutton United
Dagenham & Redbridge
Barnet
Altrincham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2024
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
3 - 0
Fylde
FYL
57%
23%
20%
55 48 7 0
07 Sep. 2024
SOL
Solihull Moors
0 - 1
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
47%
26%
27%
54 56 2 +1
31 Aug. 2024
SUT
Sutton United
1 - 2
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
50%
25%
24%
54 57 3 0
26 Aug. 2024
FOR
Forest Green Rovers
2 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
46%
26%
29%
53 51 2 +1
24 Aug. 2024
ROC
Rochdale
0 - 0
Forest Green Rovers
FOR
41%
25%
34%
53 50 3 0

Matches

Wealdstone
Wealdstone
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2024
WOK
Woking
1 - 0
Wealdstone
WEA
52%
23%
25%
46 50 4 0
07 Sep. 2024
WEA
Wealdstone
0 - 2
York City
YOR
36%
26%
38%
46 51 5 0
31 Aug. 2024
SOL
Solihull Moors
1 - 1
Wealdstone
WEA
64%
21%
15%
46 56 10 0
26 Aug. 2024
WEA
Wealdstone
1 - 0
Fylde
FYL
31%
24%
45%
45 49 4 +1
24 Aug. 2024
HAR
Hartlepool United
1 - 1
Wealdstone
WEA
60%
22%
18%
44 51 7 +1