Forest Green Rovers vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
YEO
1 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CUM
1 - 2
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 3
OXF
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
MOR
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
EXE
1 - 0
CRE
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CRE
0 - 2
OLD
36%
28%
37%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 0
CAM
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
CRA
3 - 0
CRE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
TRA
30%
27%
43%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |