Força e Luz vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 6
ABC
9%
15%
76%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
1 - 4
ARN
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
FEL
4 - 3
GLO
18%
21%
61%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 1
FEL
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
62%
19%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 4
ARN
19%
25%
57%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
POT
39%
26%
34%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 2
GLO
22%
26%
53%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |