Fontenay vs Stade Lavallois II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
13º
4º
20
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 8% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 65.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
FON
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
CHA
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
FON
32%
24%
45%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
NAN
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
FON
33%
28%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Stade Lavallois II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
SPG
55%
21%
23%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 0
LAV
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAV
1 - 2
LAT
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 0
LAV
27%
26%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 1
USS
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |