Fondi vs Martina Franca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
APR
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FON
0 - 1
PON
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TER
2 - 0
FON
86%
11%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FON
1 - 3
LAQ
25%
26%
49%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Martina Franca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ASM
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
43%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CHI
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
RAA
0 - 1
MAR
22%
25%
54%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIG
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TER
3 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -2 |