Follo vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
FOL
46%
23%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 0
HON
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
SDF
0 - 0
FOL
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
4 - 0
KVI
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
3 - 0
FOL
28%
22%
50%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JER
0 - 0
SOG
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
JER
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 2
JER
45%
23%
32%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
JER
4 - 0
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 2
JER
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |