Foligno Calcio vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LAQ
1 - 1
FOL
14%
21%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
FOL
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PON
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FOL
14%
20%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RAA
3 - 2
VIG
29%
28%
43%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIG
0 - 1
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
USP
1 - 0
VIG
41%
28%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIG
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 0
VIG
41%
27%
32%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |