Coppa Titano Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FOL
4 - 1
PEN
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FAE
0 - 2
FOL
12%
19%
69%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
JUV
1 - 5
FOL
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
FAE
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
TFI
1 - 0
FOL
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 4
LIB
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
2 - 0
JUV
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
LIB
3 - 1
CAI
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
JUV
2 - 1
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
VIR
2 - 4
LIB
24%
25%
52%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |