Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
2 - 0
FOL
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 0
COS
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 4
COS
31%
24%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
3 - 1
JUV
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 2
SGI
65%
21%
15%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
1 - 1
FAE
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TPE
0 - 0
JUV
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |