Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 2
CAS
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 3
FOL
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 3
ADR
51%
24%
26%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
VCB
49%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
ARC
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 2
DES
19%
20%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
DES
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
DES
1 - 1
CAL
57%
21%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |