Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Fola Esch vs Milsami Orhei analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 4
F91
45%
23%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
FOL
4 - 2
KAE
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
F91
5 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
RUM
1 - 3
FOL
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
DIF
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milsami Orhei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
MIL
2 - 0
ZAR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
MOL
0 - 2
MIL
11%
22%
68%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
DIN
0 - 1
MIL
20%
26%
54%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
3 - 1
SAX
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 1
SHF
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |