Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 0
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FLU
1 - 4
FRI
85%
11%
4%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
OPE
2 - 3
FLU
21%
23%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
MAD
2 - 1
FLU
8%
16%
76%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
FLU
0 - 1
CAB
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 4
VAS
10%
17%
73%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
VAS
7 - 0
BOT
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VAS
2 - 2
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
20%
22%
58%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
FRI
1 - 1
VAS
13%
18%
69%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |