Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 2
FLU
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
NAU
1 - 1
FLU
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FLU
1 - 4
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 0
SCI
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
COT
5 - 0
FLA
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 2
FLA
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 1
ATP
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
FLA
27%
26%
47%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |