Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 4-2
Fluminense vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.5%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 2
BOA
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
FLU
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
REC
3 - 2
AGU
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAY
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
AGU
2 - 1
CVR
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
REM
2 - 2
AGU
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |