Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 0-9
Floriana FC vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Floriana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
FLO
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
BIR
1 - 2
FLO
48%
23%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
FLO
3 - 0
BIR
36%
26%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FLO
1 - 1
VAL
25%
25%
49%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 2
FLO
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
AEK
0 - 1
ANO
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
APO
3 - 0
AEK
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
AEK
1 - 2
OMO
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
OMO
3 - 0
AEK
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ANO
2 - 0
AEK
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |