Esiliiga B round 1

FC Flora Tallin III vs Ararat analysis

FC Flora Tallin III Ararat
24 ELO 36
28% Tilt 14.9%
7298º General ELO ranking 15115º
43º Country ELO ranking 96º
ELO win probability
31.6%
FC Flora Tallin III
22.6%
Draw
45.8%
Ararat

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
FC Flora Tallin III
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.8%
Win probability
Ararat
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Flora Tallin III
-40%
-64%
Ararat

ELO progression

FC Flora Tallin III
Ararat
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Flora Tallin III
FC Flora Tallin III
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2014
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
1 - 4
Alliance FC
JKJ
42%
22%
35%
26 34 8 0
31 Oct. 2014
TFS
Tartu FC Santos
6 - 0
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
91%
6%
3%
26 56 30 0
23 Oct. 2014
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
1 - 3
Ararat
FCA
47%
21%
32%
28 32 4 -2
17 Oct. 2014
EMM
Emmaste
4 - 2
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
77%
13%
10%
28 41 13 0
04 Oct. 2014
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
2 - 3
Tallinna Infonet II
TIN
15%
19%
66%
28 54 26 0

Matches

Ararat
Ararat
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2014
JOK
Joker
4 - 6
Ararat
FCA
55%
21%
24%
32 36 4 0
16 Nov. 2014
FCA
Ararat
1 - 3
Joker
JOK
44%
22%
34%
34 35 1 -2
05 Nov. 2014
TIN
Tallinna Infonet II
3 - 3
Ararat
FCA
83%
11%
6%
33 56 23 +1
02 Nov. 2014
FCA
Ararat
1 - 2
Maardu FC
MAA
40%
22%
38%
34 36 2 -1
23 Oct. 2014
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
1 - 3
Ararat
FCA
47%
21%
32%
32 28 4 +2