Flint Town United vs Penybont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
10º
11º
10º
40
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
40 | 47 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 46 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 37 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 35 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 32 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 32 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 32 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 27 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 23 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
17 | 21 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 18 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 17 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 2
CAE
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
FLI
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FLI
1 - 0
HAV
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
FLI
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 2
FLI
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penybont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 1
BRI
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
TNS
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
CAE
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |