Flint Town United vs Caernarfon Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 0
PEN
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
FLI
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 2
TNS
27%
24%
49%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 3
TNS
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
FLI
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 4
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 3
CAE
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |